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Memphis, Tennessee

24Low priority

Ranked #778 of 1,017 cities across the two states · Shelby County · Memphis metro · 29 ZIP areas, 26 scored

The city score is the population-weighted average of its 26 scored ZIP areas on the model’s own weights. Its strongest ZIP area is Memphis 38125 at 50, ranked #523 of 1,274 ZIP areas — a plant goes in a ZIP area, so that is the number to plant on.

Population now
676,157
1 growth ZIP area
Growth, last 5 years
-19,236
-2.8%
Forecast, next 5 years
-13,102
-1.9% · official county projection
Church of God churches
4
169,039 people each

Why Memphis scores 24

Growth — are people moving here?12 · weight 86%

-19,236 in five years, -13,102 forecast

Viability — enough people to sustain a plant?99 · weight 14%

676,157 residents today

Church of God coverage — context, not in the score

4 Church of God churches filed in its ZIP areas · nearest 0.8 mi · 1 of 26 ZIP areas with none within 6 mi (10 km). By the owner's ruling, how near a Church of God church is carries no weight in the score.

Strongest ZIP area
Memphis 3812550#523
Weakest ZIP area
Memphis 381529
Growth ZIP areas
1

Where the Church of God stands here

ZIP areas with no Church of God church within reach, of the 26 scored.

Within 3 mi (5 km)
15 of 26
Within 6 mi (10 km)
1 of 26
Within 12 mi (20 km)
0 of 26
Other places of worship within 12 mi (20 km)
617–1,706

The range across its ZIP centres — any faith, from OpenStreetMap. A sanity check on the gap, not a scoring input.

Shelby County: 68.6% of residents are adherents of some religious body · largest body Non-denominational Christian Churches · 1,449 congregations

2020 U.S. Religion Census, county-level, context only.

ZIP areas in Memphis

ZIP areaPeopleLast 5 yrsNext 5 yrsChurches ≤12 miNearestOther congregations ≤12 miPriorityRankPipeline
Memphis 38125growth corridor42,793+5,274+2,46474.8 mi61750#523—
Memphis 3811641,393+1,635+3,55245.2 mi1,40344#598—
Memphis 3814123,768+1,428+2,29972.6 mi90943#604—
Memphis 3813530,490+776-36755.6 mi1,13440#673—
Memphis 3812225,310+615+3,26261.3 mi1,67940#692—
Memphis 3810818,501+607+2,30961.8 mi1,64139#704—
Memphis 3811839,162+498-11862.1 mi1,60139#718—
Memphis 3811726,327+446+6562.0 mi1,70138#724—
Memphis 3812739,553-4,674-4,38656.0 mi1,41214#1,083—
Memphis 3810943,764-1,158-3,36337.1 mi1,28114#1,080—
Memphis 3811143,308-255+1,89761.3 mi1,69414#1,081—
Memphis 3811536,878-3,959-1,59271.5 mi1,46014#1,082—
Memphis 3813442,500-2,353-1,90562.7 mi1,47914#1,085—
Memphis 3812844,027-1,482-1,58753.6 mi1,46514#1,084—
Memphis 3810422,925-592-1,26663.4 mi1,64014#1,087—
Memphis 3811922,332-615-1,59373.4 mi1,37214#1,091—
Memphis 3810621,827-2,202-3,47863.6 mi1,58814#1,090—
Memphis 3813321,153-1,101-1,07364.1 mi98314#1,092—
Memphis 3811420,440-6,346-4,62360.8 mi1,65514#1,094—
Memphis 3811216,798-284+80063.5 mi1,67714#1,098—
Memphis 3810314,025-19+7756.1 mi1,57213#1,107—
Memphis 3810714,254-1,866-1,47565.3 mi1,62913#1,108—
Memphis 3812013,249-1,385-1,32262.8 mi1,62213#1,110—
Memphis 381265,723-684-90964.6 mi1,58712#1,133—
Memphis 381055,151-1,058-65665.1 mi1,61012#1,139—
Memphis 38152506-482-11461.7 mi1,7069#1,265—

Memphis 38113, Memphis 38131, Memphis 38132 carry no ACS population estimate — drawn on the map, not scored.

Who lives here

Population makeup

The five parts add to the 676,157 people who live in its ZIP areas.

Black, not Hispanic
62.2%
420,512
White, not Hispanic
24.1%
162,633
Hispanic or Latino
9.5%
64,430
Other, not Hispanic
2.5%
16,811
Asian, not Hispanic
1.7%
11,771

Age, money, schooling, home and language

Households with children
29.0%
77,929 of 268,998 households
Below the poverty level
21.9%
144,501 of the 661,264 people poverty status is determined for
Unemployed
8.4%
28,118 of a labor force of 335,480
High school or higher
87.7%
of 441,594 residents aged 25 and over
Bachelor’s degree or higher
27.9%
of 441,594 residents aged 25 and over
Spanish spoken at home
7.8%
48,992 people aged 5 and over, 23,389 of them speaking English less than “very well”
Foreign-born
7.3%
49,190 residents
Owner-occupied homes
48.2%
129,582 owned, 139,416 rented
Median household income by ZIP area
from $29,316 (Memphis 38105) to $119,309 (Memphis 38120)
Median age by ZIP area
from 19.7 yrs (Memphis 38152) to 45.0 yrs (Memphis 38120)
Median home value by ZIP area
from $59,000 (Memphis 38126) to $421,500 (Memphis 38120)

Sums are exact across the city’s ZIP areas. Medians cannot be summed, so each is shown as its range across the ZIP areas that publish one. ACS 2019–2023 five-year estimates by ZIP area. Medians are ZIP-level medians, not averages. An em dash means the Census Bureau publishes no estimate; it never means zero.

Futuros — the Hispanic picture

Hispanic residents
64,430
Change, 2018 to 2023
+15,523
+31.7%
Share of everyone who lives here
9.5%
Venezuelan origin
1,129
Spanish-language Church of God churches in its ZIP areas
1
Iglesia de Dios Evangelio Completo
Strongest Futuros ZIP area
Memphis 3813485
Futuros score, weighted by Hispanic residents
63.9

No official Hispanic forecast exists below state level, so the Futuros score looks forward on the observed five-year shift.

Open the Futuros view →

Arrivals

Moved in from another state, past year
14,223
Moved in from abroad, past year
3,583

Foreign-born residents by country of birth

  • Mexico14,729
  • Honduras6,147
  • Guatemala4,159
  • India2,296
  • Vietnam1,768
  • Philippines1,728
  • El Salvador1,714
  • Venezuela1,143
All arrivals →

New homes

  • Shelby County · 5,255 permitted homes, 2023–25 · 3 developments

    1-unit ×2668 · 2–4 ×48 · 5+ ×2539

Building permits are published by county, so these are county figures, not the city’s.

Church health

4 Church of God churches are filed in its ZIP areas.

Every church that could be matched to a state-office report has filed something, or has a dated online presence.

No church here is on a falling attendance trend.

Church of God churches in Memphis

ChurchCityPastorContactNote
CornerstoneMemphis 38108Harry Walter Camp(901) 761-9346
El Vino A Libertar A Los CautivosMemphis 38115Israel F de la Rosa(901) 570-5675
Iglesia de Dios Evangelio CompletoMemphis 38114Sofonias Lopez( ) -
Nueva Generacion PentecostalMemphis 38111—(901) 679-7533

What a city is here. The place name the Postal Service gives a ZIP code, so Memphis is every ZIP area whose mailing city is Memphis — the city everyone means, not the incorporated limits. The score is the population-weighted average of those ZIP areas’ planting scores (86% growth, 14% viability; how near a Church of God church is carries no weight); a plant goes in a ZIP area, and the ranking to plant on is the ZIP area’s own. Church of God counts are the churches filed in those ZIP areas; the rings on each ZIP area still count every church within reach, across city and county lines.